Thursday, October 25, 2012
Fossil fuel warriors in charge of ConDems energy policy
Wednesday, May 06, 2009
It's capitalism, stupid!
They’re hoping to find something that might help to avoid a re-occurrence of the catastrophic series of implosions that mark the passing of the shadowy speculative organisations populating the world of fantasy finance. Or at least, they hope to provide an early warning of the sudden collapse of demand that wrecked the profits of corporations overproducing beyond the capacity of the market and the planet.
If this all seems a bit late in the day, this is because they were caught up in the hysteria of never-ending growth promised by regulators, politicians and financiers.
The Bank of England, which sat back entranced as a series of speculative bubbles grew in size, has published a talk given last month by Andrew G Haldane, its executive director responsible for financial stability. With a job title like that you’d be forgiven for thinking he’d be well ahead of the game – but, alas, he wasn’t and he still isn’t.
In a paper entitled “Rethinking the Financial Network”, and clearly written before the global threat of a H1N1 flu pandemic gripped the media, Haldane compares the panic effect of the 2002 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) outbreak in China to the collapse into bankruptcy of Lehman brothers on September 15, 2008 and its catastrophic impact on global markets.
In his analysis of the financial system, Haldane draws on the theory of complex, adaptive systems, learning, he says from ecology, epidemiology, biology and engineering. This muddle-headed, eclectic approach is not new. People, among them Andrew Lo, director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Laboratory for Financial Engineering, have been using it for years to justify and explain the operation of free, in the sense of unregulated, stock and other financial markets.
The Green New Deal from the New Economics Foundation and “Prosperity without Growth” from the Sustainability Commission, both use it to argue for intervention. Coincidentally, Lo popped up yesterday in a Financial Times interview misusing Darwin’s theory of evolution and comparing the current crisis to the impact of a meteorite on the dinosaurs.
Haldane says that the evolution of a complex network of increasingly similar financial institutions meant that “sharp discontinuities in the financial system were an accident waiting to happen. The present crisis is the materialisation of that accident.” His prescription is better information, better regulation, and restructuring “to reduce the financial network’s dimensionality and complexity”.
In attempting to borrow from other sciences, Haldane, the NEF, Lo and the others essentially acknowledge that classical economic theories, whether of the free-market or interventionist schools, are dead in the water. But in ascribing the source of the current problems to increased complexity and external accident they completely miss the point about the nature of an overarching, objective, contradictory social system known to humanity as capitalism.
Crisis is an intrinsic part of the capitalist system of social relations and manifested itself long before the appearance of the complexity that Haldane and others describe. As far back as 1848, Marx and Engels in their Communist Manifesto already observed how bourgeois society “is like the sorcerer who is no longer able to control the powers of the nether world whom he has called up by his spells” and how the history of capitalism, then comparatively young, was one of “the revolt of modern productive forces against modern conditions of production” and how “commercial crises that by their periodical return put the existence of the entire bourgeois society on its trial, each time more threateningly”.
In other words, the problem is not at all that complex: it’s capitalism, stupid!
Gerry Gold
Economics editor
Thursday, April 02, 2009
G20 won't bail out the eco-system
Whatever the communiqué issued by G20 leaders says today, it will not address the climate crisis. Rather it will present the shared thinking of governments desperate to get the global capitalist economy rolling again at any cost.
Just what a disaster this would be is set out in a report published this week by the Sustainable Development Commission (SDC), created to advise the government, but consistently ignored by it.
Prosperity Without Growth moves within an inch of stating that capitalism itself is unsustainable – but then falls at the last hurdle! It rejects the idea that rogue individuals or incompetent regulators are responsible for the crisis, insisting that the economy “was undone by growth itself” and adds:
“For the last five decades the pursuit of growth has been the single most important policy goal across the world. The global economy is almost five times the size it was half a century ago... This extraordinary ramping up of global economic activity has no historical precedent. It’s totally at odds with our scientific knowledge of the finite resource base and the fragile ecology on which we depend for survival. And it has already been accompanied by the degradation of an estimated 60% of the world’s ecosystems.”
The report boldly questions the thinking behind the idea of a “Green New Deal”, which has become fashionable as an allegedly sustainable way of getting the economy out of its crisis. After offering some faint praise for a “green stimulus”, the report scathing adds:
“Nonetheless, the default assumption of even the ‘greenest’ Keynesian stimulus is to return the economy to a condition of continuing consumption growth. Since this condition is unsustainable, it is difficult to escape the conclusion that in the longer term something more is needed. A different kind of macro-economic structure is essential for an ecologically-constrained world.”
The questions that follow are what is this new “macro-economic structure” and how are we to achieve it? In his foreword, the report’s author Tim Jackson, economics commissioner of the Sustainable Development Commission, says a return to “business as usual” is not an option. Prosperity for the few founded on “ecological destruction and persistent social injustice” is no foundation for a civilised society, he rightly insists.
Yet the 12-point plan the SDC then puts forward for consideration by the world’s leaders could never be implemented within the present economic and financial framework. Because the problem we face is not simply about “growth”, but “growth in pursuit of profit”. And if capitalism were to somehow move outside of the pursuit of profit – it would no longer be capitalism. And you can’t see capitalism voting to put itself out of business anytime soon. Put that way, it’s inconceivable that the SDC’s admirable programme can be achieved without transforming the fundamentals, creating a sustainable not-for-profit economy based on co-ownership and co-operation.
The report says that “questioning growth is deemed to be the act of lunatics, idealists and revolutionaries” but even if that is true, our ranks are growing. The vast majority of those on Saturday’s “Put People First” demonstration and yesterday’s anti-capitalist actions know only too well that the G20 leaders and the system they represent will never “put the planet first”. They can only ever “put profit first”. That’s why Obama and Brown constantly talk about the “need to restore growth”.
“Nature doesn’t do bailouts” was one of the slogans of the climate camp, pitched yesterday outside the City of London Climate Exchange. And the Archbishop of Canterbury said last week that God would not be stepping in to halt climate change either. So then human society - the conscious and most active part of nature – will have to do it, rescuing the planet’s eco-system and us at the same time.
Environment editor
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Wales grapples with 'green' realities
At a conference in Cardiff exploring green economic futures for Wales, the journalist and green campaigner Colin Hines peddled the illusion that “Mandelson and Brown are listening”. Having no answers themselves to the crisis, he claimed that ministers are ready to grab at proposals in “A Green New Deal”, which he published last year through the New Economics Foundation.
It is “the answer to their prayers”, Hines claimed. It would solve unemployment by training thousands of people to bring every home up to energy efficiency standards, along with other green measures. The reality is somewhat different, however. The real face of this government was shown last night in the vote in the House of Commons, where New Labour used every underhand pressure to force through support for Heathrow expansion.
Hines and his supporters are selling pie in the sky. The only jobs Brown is interested in are those that can provide short-term gain for the corporations in crisis. In fact, the corporations welcome unemployment at this moment. Some 80,000 jobs a day are being lost across the globe and employers are using fear to force down wages and conditions of the workers that remain.
The only green measures Brown will implement are greenwash measures. For example, the shortlisted proposals for tidal power at the mouth of the Severn announced on Tuesday include at number one, an expensive and ecologically catastrophic 10-mile barrage. It would cost £14bn to build, but would produce 8GW of power. At the same time the government has withdrawn subsidy to small-scale alternative energy projects, pending a new scheme which may, or may not, be implemented in 2010 – when the world will be a very different place.
The conference, sponsored by Science Shop Wales, noted the massive contradiction in green policies adopted by the Welsh Assembly. Alongside a commitment to reducing emissions is a continued commitment to growth at all costs, desperately trying to capture foreign direct investment to create jobs. As one of the speakers said, “how 20th century”. Those days are long gone. As the Tata global corporation sheds 1,200 Corus Steel jobs in Wales, the Assembly is desperately trying to convince Welsh people that it can keep the show on the road. It cannot.
At a Transition Town meeting in Llandeilo, Carmarthenshire, the previous evening, A World to Win was able to put forward another viewpoint - that the economic slump means that all measures to reduce emissions and protect eco-systems will be abandoned, unless they can be proved to deliver some short-term profits.
What is needed is a radical transformation of ownership – both of land and resources - and democratic control over the corporations and public services. Only an end to policies that put profit ahead of people – whether in climate change, health, transport or production – can save society from a terrible descent into chaos.
But, face it folks, this is not going to be brought about by the current system of unrepresentative, unresponsive, parliamentary democracy. So it was great to have a chance to launch the People’s Charter in Wales – where the original Chartist movement was such a power in the land and where the most radical solutions were considered by the men and women who carried out the Newport Uprising.
Penny Cole
Environment editor