Showing posts with label Greenland ice sheet. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Greenland ice sheet. Show all posts

Friday, August 24, 2012

Sea ice melt puts ecosystem in jeopardy


Normally by this time of year the Arctic sea ice summer melt would be over. But it’s still melting at a rate of 100,000 metres per day and by the weekend, middle of next week latest, a larger area than ever before will have thawed. A halt to the melting process is now not expected for several weeks.

Climate change has kicked in with a vengeance, producing dramatic changes that are take only a few days to manifest. Pictures from the NASA earth observatory show “an extreme melt event” on the Greenland ice sheet with some degree of melting across its entire surface.

On average in the summer, about half of the surface melts, but this year has seen a dramatic jump. Satellite data shows an estimated 97% of the ice sheet surface thawed at some point in mid-July.

Researcher Son Nghiem of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory first noticed that most of Greenland appeared to have undergone surface melting on July 12. He says: "This was so extraordinary that at first I questioned the result: was this real or was it due to a data error?"

Then other researchers confirmed the findings. It all happened really quickly, with satellite pictures on July 8 showing about 40% of the surface had melted – by July 12, it was 97%. There has been a strong ridge of warm air, a “heat dome”, over Greenland, one of a series since the end of May, each stronger than the one before.

As the ice sheet and sea ice melt, the planet’s air conditioning system is undermined. Ice reflects the sun’s heat back into atmosphere. Life on earth is not possible without this effect. The functioning of the present ecosystem is thereby put in jeopardy.

This summer has seen extreme weather across the globe. America’s eastern seaboard has suffered ferocious heat and storms, and there is a new dustbowl developing in Texas. In the UK, heavy rains and lack of sunshine have brought flooding and damaged crops. The picture is the same everywhere. Another global food crisis looms, with spiralling prices leaving the poorest to starve.

But not one political leader has commented on what’s happening in the Arctic – not Obama, not Cameron, not Hu Jintao, not Putin. They are variously indifferent, in a rush to exploit the changing conditions or simply tied closely to the fortunes of energy corporations.

Obama is locked in a race to the bottom with Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney, to see who can offer the coal industry the easiest ride. New mining permits are being handed out to Koch Industries and other coal barons, and approvals made for coal-fired power stations with no commitment to carbon capture and storage.

Russia’s Gazprom is cashing in on the Arctic melt, stepping up oil drilling as is Norway. A Chinese icebreaker just sailed from the Bering Straits to northern Europe opening a new, cheap trade route. China, the biggest coal burner, has just one experimental carbon capture project, proceeding at a snail’s pace and with no evidence that storing CO2 in spent oil or coal seams will work.

There is some progress with carbon capture. A project in Canada is extracting food grade CO2 from flue gas using an organic solvent and feeding it to greenhouse grown plants. All that is left is a carbon free vapour which is safely released into the atmosphere. 

The problem is the same as with all new technologies, including new types of tidal energy generation – it is small scale, experimental and not immediately profitable. So governments and corporations won’t invest to speed up progress. And that exposes the main stumbling block in tackling climate change.

Production for profit, regardless of the consequences, is the main driver of climate change. Only production on a not-for-profit, sustainable basis can unleash the potential that exists both to mitigate the now unavoidable impacts of climate change and reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions.

That requires a democratic revolution to establish a social system where the majority, organised in local national and global assemblies, plan to meet the needs of everyone on the planet whilst conserving and improving our ecosystem.  

Penny Cole
Environment editor

Thursday, December 15, 2011

Durban's 'death sentence' for millions

The last-minute deal at the Durban climate summit was as believable as the climax of a reality TV show. Cheering, back-slapping delegates had just condemned millions to starvation and homelessness.

Any binding agreement to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases must now wait until 2020. Negotiations will not begin until 2014, and will in effect start from scratch - as if the Kyoto protocol never existed.

All major polluters will be expected to agree to substantial cuts. But when it comes to it - will any of them agree to anything that limits profit-driven growth? Not as long as the corporations are calling the shots they won't.

Just to underline the point, the day after the talks concluded, the Canadian government abandoned the Kyoto treaty. They were not on course to meet their Kyoto target, and faced significant fines. Japan, Russia and possibly Australia, are likely to follow suit.

Now Canada can “focus on jobs and growth”, said the country’s environment minister. What he means is his government wants big oil corporations to go all out to extract huge deposits of oil from sand. This a high emissions process, that will also help lock the planet in to fossil fuel burning for the foreseeable future

As a result, the world is now on course for catastrophic outcomes. "Eight years from now is a death sentence on Africa," said Nigerian environmentalist Nnimmo Bassey, chairperson of Friends of the Earth International.

The International Energy Agency, in its annual outlook last month, said that without significant reductions in emissions over the next 25 years, there will be an average temperature rise of 3.5ºc.

The science is clear enough. Warming over 3°C will create feedback loops, causing runaway greenhouse effects:

• the Amazon rainforest starts to die back
• coral reefs die and are replaced by algae and sea grass
• irreversible loss of the Greenland ice sheet occurs
• release of methane hydrates in ocean floor sediments further adds to warming
• permafrost thaws, releasing huge amounts of greenhouse gases currently fixed.

So what is to be done? Well, there are still options available and it is not too late to act. Much of the greenhouse gas that will cause significant warming is already up there, and the effects are already being felt across the planet.

But if we introduce cuts in emissions starting now, it may be possible to hold warming below 2ºC. At the same time as emergency plans to cut emissions, massive resources could be invested in mitigation – developing drought-resistant crops; more effective water use; improving natural flood defences on coasts and river deltas; switching to sustainable farming methods; fair shares of land.

In the UK, that could mean local and regional People’s Assemblies developing their own action plans, and also sending delegates to a national Assembly that could plan, for example, to immediately:
• close London’s carbon trading exchange
• fund insulation grants and solar panels for all households where suitable
• bring rail, air and bus networks into not-for-profit ownership, slashing fares and working for an integrated transport system
• take cars out of city centres with park and ride, and create public transport/cycle-only boxes in the centre of cities
• establish car pool schemes and car sharing schemes
• set upper limits on total flight miles in and out of Britain and distribute them fairly through an air miles system
• halt airport expansion
• halt plans to build a new generation of nuclear power stations
• launch a crash programme of renewable energy projects.

But the most urgent question we face is political. As long as profit-driven growth is the sole priority of government, nothing can change. But a global network of People’s Assemblies could quickly put together a binding agreement, and open the way for a new era of sustainable production to meet the needs of people and planet. Debating how to achieve this should become the focus for meetings and occupations up and down the country early in the New Year.

Penny Cole
Environment editor