Showing posts with label Robert Peston. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Robert Peston. Show all posts

Friday, May 18, 2012

Facebook riches show how obscene the system is


As people wander the towns and cities of Greece and Spain today looking for work, food and simply the means of survival, in California a company that makes no profits at all will sell its shares for over $100 billion.

Mark Zuckerberg and the other people behind Facebook will be richer beyond their wildest dreams, billionaires many times over, by close of business as the corporation goes from a private enterprise to a public one by selling shares on the stock exchange.

While the Greek Olympic Committee humiliatingly had to find sponsorship from a German car firm to stage the torch handover yesterday because the country is bankrupt, Zuckerberg are his friends are laughing all the way to the bank.

The contrasts between Facebook and the rest of us don’t just border on the obscene – they are way beyond that. In the United States itself, the real unemployment rate is said by experts to be closer to 14% than the 8% cited by official figures. Hundreds of thousands are homeless and many millions below the poverty line.

The Facebook “flotation” is also another prime example of fantasy finance, the same stuff that drove the debt-laden boom of the first years of the century and eventually helped to bring the global economy down.

Millions of small investors, drawn by the prospect of easy money are, however, likely to get their fingers burnt as the major financiers move in.

With the global economy on a knife-edge the unreality persists. Still the bankers are paid in telephone numbers (on top of their bonuses) while 25% are out of work in Spain and the Greek standard of living has fallen off a cliff as a result of austerity demanded in exchanged for loans.

The eurozone crisis is intractable. It’s not a matter of if but when Greece either leaves or is ousted from the single currency. Fresh elections next month seem certain to propel the left-wing Syriza into government. Its leaders have pledged to renegotiate the bail-out terms with the EU and European Central Bank but stay in the euro. They can dream on.

As in Spain, where 16 banks were downgraded overnight, people in Greece are beginning to take their money out of the banks just in case they wake up one Monday and find their euros have been replaced by the New Drachma or the New Peseta at much lower values.

Judging by the near hysteria from prime minister Cameron in London, the impending break-up of the euro will precipitate an economic slump as well as a banking crash that according to the BBC’s Robert Peston was only narrowly avoided at the end of last year.

Martin Wolf, the Financial Times’ leading analyst, confirms this. He wrote last night: “These perils are not of concern to the eurozone alone. Taken as a whole, this is the world’s second-largest economy, with the largest banking system. The risk that a bigger eurozone upheaval would cause a global crisis is real. As frightening is the likelihood that eurozone crises would become permanent features of the world economy.”

There is no future for the majority along this road. The capitalist system is actually broken and beyond repair. There is no choice but to think along the lines of reconstructing the economy along lines of co-operation, mutuality and not-for-profit, democratically-owned enterprises.

That would involve cancelling all sovereign debt. Bond markets that are presently holding countries to ransom would be shut down, along with the stock markets. Investment bank speculation would become a thing of the past. All the expertise in the financial industry would be put towards creating new, equitable monetary arrangements between countries.

This scenario undoubtedly seems a long way to most people. But with the crisis reaching a tipping point, these are the sorts of considerations we will have to apply ourselves too in the near future.

Paul Feldman
Communications editor

Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Get ready for another banking crash

The Bank of England’s Paul Tucker pulled no punches on the BBC last night. “When banks take the upside and taxpayers take the downside, something has gone wrong with the very heart of capitalism”, he said.

Tucker, deputy governor of the Bank, with special responsibility for financial stability, aimed his advice at the Coalition government. Instead of further government intervention to bail out banks, they should be allowed to fail, albeit in an orderly fashion.

Cameron, Clegg and Chancellor Osborne are anxiously awaiting the recommendations from the Banking Commission they established in June 2010, to look at the “size, scale and function” of the banking sector. But there’s no time to lose.

Tucker’s bite-the bullet proposal to let the likes of Lloyd’s and RBS fail – and presumably to take all their depositors’ money down with them, was delivered as the climax of the BBC’s business editor Robert Peston’s retelling of the story of rapid expansion of the financial sector that preceded the crash of 2007/8.

Tucker is saying that there’s another, much bigger crash on the way. This time the banks will be just too big to save.

Peston and the BBC’s media expertise took us once again through the breakdown of regulation and the rise of derivative financial “products” whose face value grew to be ten times larger than the total of the world’s annual production of goods and non-financial services.

But, as with most accounts, no underlying explanation was given for the exponential expansion of credit from the 1970s onwards. Apart from using Toby Baxendale, a wealthy fish merchant, to top and tail the hour-long programme, the real economy hardly got a look in.

Amongst Baxendale’s biggest customers was Lehman’s. When they cashed in their chips, Baxendale lost out. Now he’s got a sensible-sounding idea to end the madness – legislation to force banks to keep a customer’s deposits safe rather than lending them out, if that’s what the customer wants. We didn’t find out whether he expects to pay for the privilege, or wants to receive interest.

Either way it’s just a variant on the idea of returning to the days when savings banks had to be kept separate from the more risky lenders of capital for investment. The chances of that happening are less than zero.

This won’t solve the main problem. The banks are still stuck with monumental mountains of toxic assets. These are the unsustainable debts that can never be repaid, because repayment depends on recovery and there can’t be a recovery before the excess productive capacity they funded has been eliminated.

It has always been part of the BBC’s role to protect the state when danger threatens, and this was one of its better attempts to keep attention focussed on the banks, and away from the real heart of capitalist production – the place where real value is produced by people working, and working longer and harder than they need to satisfy all of our needs.

With students leading the campaign against the cuts, and beginning to widen their campaign beyond blaming the bankers, and the soaring price of fuel and food enraging the population, the state is beginning to come under attack. They can’t wait for the Banking Commission. Some might even smell a conspiracy of the Coalition, the BBC and the Bank of England to confuse the public, to keep the attention on the banks and away from the system as a whole.

Without the fairy tale expansion of credit and debt, the capitalist economy could not have continued to grow and profits and interest payments could not have continued to be extracted from the value the workers produced all over the world. But, as Tucker is saying to Cameron, it’s all over now, baby blue.

Gerry Gold
Economics editor